Tuesday, February 09, 2010

Bama gives it the ol' college try, Wildcats don't look so fly...

... but they win and that's what counts. 66-55 is your final from Rupp Arena.

I thought our D was stifling. We controlled Wall, forcing him into 6 turnovers. I know he put 22 on the board... about a half dozen of them Sportscenter top 10 shots, but overall I liked how we dictated the tempo of the game. Torrance had a horrible game... actually we had 1 player shoot 50% for the game and it's a cheapie (1-2 for Davis). Green showed flashes of brilliance inside, but overall was way too soft in there... fading away at just about every shot. Hines picked up 5 offensive boards, but I can't remember him putting back but one of them.

We had ample opportunites to win this game. We failed on eleventy billion fast breaks and missed too many open shots. we are what we are... we try hard, but just don't have the horses.

The good:
- 90% FT
- held UK to under 20% 3pt FGs
- only 12 TOs

The bad:
- our offense... pathetic in the halfcourt
- outrebounded 40-29. Not surprising, but the -11 translates to missed opportunities.
- got UK's C game and didn't take advantage of it.

A nice showing, but this isn't horseshoes and hand grenades... another game we could've stolen, but didn't take advantage of the many chances UK gave us.

Calipari's Cats Cruise over Crimson Tide, 66-55

There's no such thing as a moral victory. At the end of this game, we are still 3-7 in the SEC with our hopes for postseason play all but in the toilet. It's another disappointing loss in which we failed to make a number of relatively easy plays down that stretch that might have given us a chance to win. That being said, I'm not sure we have a player who could start for the #2 wildcats, and we played them on their home floor without making an ass out of ourselves. So, I would say we at least exceeded expectations tonight.

We started Brock over Torrance at PG. I really didn't understand that move, but we got off to a good start, that nobody got to see thanks to ESPN's piss poor scheduling. Allow me to go off on a tangent for a moment. I can understand missing the first minute or so of the game with the VCU/George Mason game going down to the wire. However, when they are showing a game that's not even in HD, between two teams who combined don't even have a fanbase the size of our's, much less Kentucky's, ESPN needs to use a little common sense and go to Regional coverage at the very least.

Anyway, things started off well, with Hillman actually making a couple of early baskets and we built an early 7 point lead. It was unrealistic to expect the lights our shooting to continue, and Kentucky established their dominance on the glass. They used their quickness and athleticism to attack the basket and get us in foul trouble. Once again, Kentucky shot 31 free throws to our 10, but at least we made the most of the chances we got, shooting 90% from the charity stripe.

A couple of good things to take from this game...Kentucky stretched the lead to 14 early in the second half, but we actually showed some poise and managed to get back into the game. We had the ball only down 6 around the 4 minute mark but couldn't get any closer. We stayed in the zone as much as we could and made the young, impatient Kentucky team make some bad decisions on offense. Still, when we had a chance to turn a close game into a nail biter, we took bad shots or failed to finish great opportunities. Hillman forced some bad shots down the stretch and Brock continues to drive in and forget that he's under 6 feet and get rejected. We still haven't learned to make the plays that need to be made in the clutch. Contrast that will UK's wall, who made difficult, improbable shots everytime we got back within striking distance. That's why they are a final four contender, and we will be lucky to make the NIT.

Games like this are a good measuring stick. While we all knew going in we aren't on UK's level, you would have to think we are on the right track if we can be semi competitive on their home court at this point. If Coach Grant can recruit, we should at least be contenders in the West in a couple of years.

Up next, the suprising leaders of the SEC West, Arkansas Razorbacks come to Tuscaloosa Saturday for a 3pm tipoff. We need to revenge an earlier loss in Fayetteville, in a game that we had a very good chance to win until Senario Hillman got ejected. We need to get back on track and finish strong if we want a shot at postseason play.

Kentucky stats pack

I haven't dreaded a game like this in a long time... I'm hoping we are somewhat competitive in Rupp.

Statistics

We all know about John Wall, but the guy to watch is DeMarcus Cousins. He's led the team in scoring and rebounds the last 4 games. Don't forget about Patrick Patterson inside... I have no idea who is going to effectively guard him. Eric Bledsoe is going to give us fits as we know our guard play is shaky .It's obviously understood that Wall is going to penetrate our zone/m2m defense like a hot knife through butter. Did I mention we're at a huge disadvantage size wise?

Stats:
- 49.1% FG
- 38.6% 3pt FG
- 82.3 PPG
- 68.6% FT
- +10.3 rebound margin (that is not a mistype). 9.1 in conference.

Prediction: PAIN... and lots of it. I can see us hanging with them for a half, then them beating us up inside with Patterson and then burying 3s and running away with it. Kentucky by 24.

Game time is 9PM EST (8PM CST) on ESPNU. I suggest you drink heavily... I think I will.

Saturday, February 06, 2010

Ole Miss 2nd half explosion, Bama's O goes through the motion(s)

74-67 your final... quite frankly a game we choked away.

It was a tale of 2 halves... we looked unbeatable in the 1st half shooting 65% and forcing Ole Miss to take bad three after bad three. The defense was stifling as none of their guards got into any rhythm going against our zone defense. Torrance was dishing, Green was scoring, and Mitchell and Hillman joined in on the fun as we ran off to a 40-20 halftime lead.

Then the 2nd half. We bump the lead to 23 early and then inexplicably we switched to man 2 man defense. Warren started to get hot. Andy Kennedy switch Polynice over to cover Torrance and things started to slow down for us. Great move on AK's part. Our offense went into a shell. A few bad shots by Torrance and Hines with Green getting pushed out of the paint and the next thing you know Ole Miss is within 10 under 10 minutes to go.

Instead of regurgitating the last 10 minutes, I'll make it short and sweet... we looked lost on O and were getting beat down on the defensive end. Terrance Henry all of a sudden became one of the best forwards in the SEC... at least for this game as he dominated both sides in the paint. Once Ole Miss took the lead we all knew it was over.

The good:
- 1st half
- held Ole Miss to 21% from 3pt range

The bad:
- 54 points given up in the 2nd half (we scored 27)
- Got bullied inside by unexpected players.
- foul trouble
- again, looked lost in the half court offense.

It's another game we let slip away. With a beatdown at Kentucky coming, all of a sudden it's looking bleak for us to win 6 in conference play.

Ole Miss stats pack

A quick turnaround after a heartbreaking loss to the Gators... let's see how the team responds.

Ole Miss

Chris Warren and Terrico White lead the team in scoring with Murphy Holloway leading the team in rebounds. Size wise, we match up well, but I'm not sure we have the guards to cover them. Watch Warren from beyond the arc as he's draining 3s as well as he's shooting overall.

Something that I just noticed... we haven't scored 70 points in a SEC game this year. Damn.

Stats:
- 80.6 PPG
- 46.3% FG
- 37.1% 3pt FG
- 67% FT
- 7.6 steals per game

Prediction: Can the team rebound from a heartbreaking loss on Thursday night? I think it's too much for a quick turnaround road game. Too much Warren and not enough offense dooms us. Ole Miss by 11.

Game is on Fox Sports South at 6PM EST (5PM CST). If you're outside the Southeast and have access to ESPN360.com it's on there as well.

Friday, February 05, 2010

Midseason grades- SEC team by team

The A List
Vanderbilt- A. we thought they'd be decent, but tied for the best record in the SEC behind Kentucky? Give that guy a raise... especially by doing what Kansas couldn't do... beat UTK in Knoxville.

Kentucky- I lean to A- as I still haven't seen them play a full 40 minutes. If they do, they'll be cutting the nets down.

The B Listers
Tennessee- B+. 4 players suspended (3 return) did not derail them. Pearl has done a nice job... beating Kansas and continuing his dominance over Eddie Munster.

Average Joes (C List)
UGA- they get a C+... on paper they're horrible, yet they've given every team they've played in the SEC a scare. I still don't understand why Fox left Nevada for this, but it looks like a nice hire.

Alabama- C+ as well... the difference between a 6-2 and 3-5 conference record are 3 one point losses. With the injuries to Jemison and Steele (season ending) it's amazing we're even competitive.

Ole Miss- C. They shouldn't have lost to M$U and the Hogs at home. This team is clearly underachieving.

South Carolina- C. beating UK was huge, but they dropped too many other games to deserve anything more than an average grade.

Florida- C as well... they should be better than 5-3 in the mediocre SEC... and they would be worse if it weren't for some last second heroics in the USC light and Bama games.

Mississippi State- C-. About 2 weeks ago they were a B+ then came the mini freefall. They should be OWNING the SEC West. Instead, Arkansas is leading the pack.

Arkansas- C- as well, but movin' on up (to quote The Jeffersons... badly) The return of the ball hog Fortson has helped immensely. Still, that embarrassing start to the season cannot be overlooked.

D Lister
Auburn- D+. By now they should be more than just competitive. I like Lebo, but I think he's doomed there.

Man You Suck (F)
LSU- F. I know they lost a lot from last year, but this team has no heart or determination. At no point should LSU be this horrific.

Thursday, February 04, 2010

Hey hey hey, who drew up that last play? (Gators beat Bama)

More thoughts tomorrow as I only saw the last five minutes... I have no idea who drew up that last play, but it was horrendous. If i closed my eyes I would've thought this was drawn up in 2006.

As one of my friends pointed out...3 SEC losses by 1 point. That's the difference between contenders and pretenders. We are pretenders.

Box score 66-65 final.

Losing Steele and Jemison for the year is probably another reason we'll be lucky to sniff postseason play. Damn.

Edit- more thoughts... we tried the same play on the last possession. Why? We had to burn a TO on the first try.

Mitchell and I discussed what Yamene Coleman could've meant to this team right now. Losing Steele and Jemison to injuries and Coleman to transfer are the little pieces we're missing from this being a surprise NCAA berth to sitting at home after the SECT. What could have been...

DJC outlined the game nicely (as usual) in comments and discussed (as others) about our lack of a clutch player. Torrance isn't one, but he's the only guy I trust somewhat with the ball in the last minute of the game.

Florida stats pack

Season stats

They've won 4 of their last five, but are coming off a heartbreaking loss at Tennessee. Let's be honest... this is a must win game for both teams if they have dreams of making the tournament. It probably has more impact on the Gators than us.

They have 4 players averaging double digits and 3 averaging more than 5 board per. Surprisingly, they only have one real 3 point threat (Walker)... the rest I'd let them chuck 'em up.

Stats:
- 72.7 PPg
- 44.4% FG
- 31.5% 3pt FG
- 12.6 turnovers per game

Prediction: When in doubt I go with the home team. I'm not sold on the Gators being anything more than mediocre. While we have serious issues in the halfcourt, they are not a good shooting team. I think we can out defense them and win ugly... Bama by 3... somewhere in the low 60s.

Game is on ESPNU... I believe.

Tuesday, February 02, 2010

SEC Power Poll Week of Jan 31st and ESPN Bracketology

From Garnettandblackattack.com

We agree that UK is the best and LSU is the worst. Click on the link to see where the rest fall according to us SEC bloggers.

2 of last years Final Four on the bubble? Seems that way.
Acoording to Joe, the Big East gobbles up 4 of the top 8 seeds. Seems about right... although I still think Syracuse is overrated.
Bracketology

Sunday, January 31, 2010

Bama blows barn burner at the barn.

Edit-(bobbyjack) add Box Score

Lazy passes, a lack of clutch free throw shooting, and some questionable calls were too much for the Tide to overcome against a determined auburn team.

The Tigers started the game on a 7-0 run, but Alabama kept its poise and managed to come back to take the lead into halftime. We had a size advantage on them in the post, but I do not feel we did enough to exploit it. Green had a decent game before fouling out, but I believe he could have had a much better game had he played more aggressively on offense. We are still shooting too many fade away shots that are not falling. Justin Knox played well when he was in there, but Chris Hines did not have a very good game. Green's foul trouble was huge, as we really missed him the last 3 minutes.

Auburn played a tight man to man defense that gave us a lot of problems. They were able to overplay the passing lanes, and we made a number of dumb or lazy passes which resulted in steals and easy baskets in transition for auburn. Otherwise, our defense was very effective. Brock and Hillman got a number of steals out of the press, and we limited their outside shooting in the halfcourt. They did not shoot as many 3s as they have in recent games, instead using their smaller, quicker guards to attack the basket and draw fouls from our big men.

In the second half we were able to build a 6 point and 7 point lead on 2 occasions, but could not put the game away. Each time we got a decent lead, auburn would quickly get a couple of scores to bring it back to within a one possession game. Torrance had a solid game overall, but the usually consistent free throw shooter probably cost us the game at the line. With a 1 point lead in the final 30 seconds, he missed the front end of a one and one. If we can make 2 free throws there to go up 3, we most likely hold on to win the game. Instead, auburn has a chance to shoot 2 FTs at the other end, and they make one to tie the game. Torrance then gets the ball stolen with about 10 seconds left. I thought there should have been a foul called, but no such luck in auburn. Down 1 with 2.5 seconds left, we threw it the length of the court to Knox, who again appeared to be fouled as he lost the ball and time expired. Had Know been able to hold on to the ball, Torrance would have had a great look for the game winning jump shot.

I'm glad I will never have another reason to set foot into that dump known as Beard-Eaves Memorial. It was unbearably hot, and dark, in the upper level. The seats are made of wood and uncomfortable, to say the least. The men's restrooms consist of 3 troughs and 2 stalls. The councouse is tiny. The video board is actually made up of 9 smaller screens, all with different color contrasts and very little brightness. The screen went out completely on several occasions, so trying to watch replays was pretty much useless. They have no stat boards whatsoever, and the scoreboard does not even indicate the number of remaining timeouts, which is something you would like to know in a close game like this. I would estimate the crowd to be about 7,000 or so. We were represented by probably about 500 or so fans scattered throughout the arena. At one point, an Alabama fan sitting behind the basket caught a T-shirt that was tossed into the crowd, and not wanting the auburn shirt he threw it back to the cheerleader. An auburn fan cried to the cops about this, who actually threw the guy out for throwing a freaking T-shirt.

I'm afraid we will look back at this game and the Vandy game at the end of the season as the reasons why we are not dancing. It was a golden opportunity and a very winnable road game that we let slip away. Up next, the Florida Gators come to Coleman Coliseum Thursday night for a 6pm tipoff on ESPNU. This is almost a must win game now, with a 3-4 record and road trips to Ole Miss and Kentucky looming.

Saturday, January 30, 2010

Auburn stats pack

They're 1-5 in conference play, but outside of the 2nd half collapse to the Viles they've been competitive in every game.

Auburn statistics

They come in with a balanced scoring attack... 4 guys averaging double figures led by DeWayne Reed. Like every Lebo team, they shoot a bunch of 3s (roughly 40% of their shots), but only have 2 we need to worry about from out there... Sullivan and Walker.

Stats
- 44.7% FG
- 32.7% 3pt FG
- 64.4% FT
- +.5 rebound margin
- 76.1 PPG

Prediction: unlike previous years, we seem to guard the 3 ball better so as long as Green stays out of foul trouble and we get some more inside production from Hines or Knox I think in the end we wear them down and win at the Barn. Alabama by 5.

Game time is 4PM EST (3PM CST) and it's on the SEC Network. For those in Atlanta it's channel 17.

Thursday, January 28, 2010

Bama Buries Bayou Bengals

Welcome back, 3 point shot! We have missed you!

Unlike in recent games, we got off to a very slow start. We frequently made a lot of turnovers and turned the ball over against the LSU zone. Both Hines and Mitchell got into some early foul trouble. Hines picked up his second foul within the first 7 minutes or so of the game, but there was an error at the scorer's table where they had him down for 3 fouls. After sitting out the rest of the first half, he spoke to the officials at halftime who conferred with the bookkeepers and got it corrected. Despite looking lethargic and unmotivated on offense, which made it difficult for us to set up the press, we still played great defense in our halfcourt man to man. LSU used their bigs to set a lot of slip screens underneath, but we did an outstanding job of fighting through the picks, communicating, and switching when necessary.

I was concerned about this game for a number of reasons. LSU desperately needed it if they want to avoid an 0-9 start in league play, considering their upcoming schedule. Fortunately, they did not play as if that was the case. Frankly, they showed very little heart and we out hustled them all night. My other concern was with us being over confident after the beatdown in Baton Rouge, and having a let down after the big win over $tate. I think that could have been a part of the problem with our first half play. It was the first time we trailed at the half since the Kansas State game, but thanks to the great defense we were only down by 2.

I don't know what Coach Grant said to the guys at halftime, but we were a completely different team in the second half. We made 5 straight 3 pointers in a stretch which turned a 3 point defecit into a 12 point lead. Charves Davis, who has been off the last few games, was 5 for 7 from downtown. A confident Davis is essential to the success of this team. Torrance, Hillman, and Mitchell also got in on the fun from downtown. Making those shots blew the game open for us, as it allowed us to set up the press which LSU had no answer for. This led to turnovers, which led to more open shots before LSU could set up their defense. It also forced them out of their zone, which opened up the inside game for us. Torrance and Mitchell both had double-doubles, and Hillman was relentless in the press.

It was one of the best defensive efforts by us (and worst offensive efforts by LSU) that I have ever seen. They didn't have a single player score in double digits. We held them to 13 points in the 2nd half, and under 40 for the game. They had only 4 assists to 16 turnovers. LSU lost a lot from last year, and Trent Johnson is a pretty good coach, but if he can't recruit better than he has shown in the short time he has been there, he will not last long. This LSU team is bad.

I was disappointed in the crowd. The student turnout was average at best, and there were many empty good seats throughout the arena. There was hardly anybody sitting up in the corners, I would say a crowd of 7,500-8,000, at best. We need to do better than that, especially coming off of a big win against $tate.

Speaking of poor attendance, up next, a trip to the ugliest village on the plains to play our last game ever in Beard Eaves Coliseum. The tipoff against auburn is set for 3pm Saturday afternoon. On paper, this is a game we should win, but Lebo's teams always play hard, and we will get their A game as they will want to send us out of their dump with a L for the last time. We need to jump on them early and take their small gathering out of the game.

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

2nd half 3s fall, LSU hits the wall...

... as back to back to back 3s in under a minute stretches a 3 point lead to 12 and effectively puts the game away for the good guys. 57-38 Bama rolls.

Box score

The 1st half was brutal to watch for both team... it should be required viewing on how NOT to play basketball. The 2nd half we started with Mitchell with a layup, then pressure defense, and then a barrage of 3s from Davis, Torrance, Mitchell, and Hillman. LSU has no answer. When the game got to a double digit lead we worked the inside game with Green and Hines to make sure LSU wasn't coming back.

I thought LSU quit when the lead went to 12 with about 8 minutes left in the game. As bad offensively as we are, LSU is even worse... Tasmin Mitchell is their only real scoring threat.

The good:
- intense defensive play
- Charvez Davis found his outside stroke
- Torrance dishing assists
- overall good ball movement in the 2nd half (finding the open man)

The bad:
- the 1st half... AUful. Forgetable
- crappy FT shooting (started 0-4)

It's funny how a season changes... after beating LSU in Baton Rouge some of us thought we'd be the surprise team in the SEC. 3 losses in a row to Vandy, Arkansas, and Tennessee and all of a sudden we were one of the worst in the SEC, and now back to back home wins over M$U and LSU gives us hope.

Two minor rants:
- Attendance: those empty seats you see on TV are SOLD, but unused. Someone has to find a way to get those tickets to those that will use them. Burns me up...
- I keep hearing we don't have a PG... who is this Torrance fella? He seems to know how to find the open man. He's not a 'true' PG (whatever that means) yet I can't think of 3 other true PGs in the SEC I'd rather have.

LSU stats pack II

The Bengal Tigers make their way to Coleman.

They've played better since we blew them out in Baton Rouge, but yet they're still perfect (0-5) in conference. Tasmin Mitchell has been carrying the team... while Bo Spencer can't seem to find his stroke.

Write up from LSUsports.

Stats:
- 42.6% FG
- 28.7% 3pt FG
- +3.4 rebound margin
- 12.8 turnovers per game

As you can read, they're not good from the field. Make them try to beat you from outside.

Prediction: They'll probably play us close for a half before we get a comfortable double digit lead. Bama by 13.

Game time is 8PM EST (7PM CST) on the SEC Network.

Sunday, January 24, 2010

Crimson Crushes Cow College West, 62-57

This upset win over $tate could be the turning point of the season, as we snap a 3 game losing streak to get back to 2-3 in the conference. We knew the tempo of this game would be key. We were able to make some shots early and set up our press, which gave $tate fits. Varnardo is a dominant player in the halfcourt, but we were able to neutralize him by making him run. The early tempo allowed us to build a nice lead early in the first half.

$tate was finally able to get things under control, and when they slowed it down and forced us to work against their zone, they were able to get back into the game. We've made some adjustments in how we attack the 2-3 zone. As opposed to running a 1-4 set or drive and dish from the point, we were penetrating from the wing on the weak side. This was effective for a while, as we were able to make good passes underneath. Unfortunately, we missed about 4 dunks or layups and then we got away from it and went back to trying to shoot over it.

Tony Mitchell had a great game defensively and on the boards. If only he would start catching the alley oop passes with 2 hands, he missed a couple of dunks trying to one-hand the alley oop. Hillman played a lot better than his stats would indicate. Although he wasn't credited with a steal, he gave $tate hell on defense. We really need him to find his shot at some point though.

Chris Hines started and received the bulk of the playing time ahead of Justin Knox. I've been hard on Hines at times this year, but he did an outstanding job. He is the main reason we were able to keep Varnardo in check. Hines doesn't bring much to the table on the offensive end, but he's a big, strong physical presence on defense and was able to hold his ground and block out the $tate big man.

Torrance and Brock made the shots we needed to make down the stretch. $tate had slowed the game down and taken a 1 point lead as we were struggling against the zone, but a couple of 3's and we were able to speed it up again and get the crowd into it. $tate is usually a much better 3 point shooting team, but I think our defenders deserve a lot of credit for their bad day. Most of their shots were closely contested. We do need to stop falling for the head fake, as once again we fouled their 3 point shooters on 2 seperate occasions.

Free throw shooting was much better after Jamychael Green started out 1 for 4. This game was starting to look like so many others this year, build a big lead, only to lose it in the 2nd half due to lack of depth. This time we were able to make the shots and get the stops needed down the stretch to get the win. This was a good win for the program, on national television against a top 25 opponent. Hopefully it will give us the confidence needed to start a winning streak, with 2 very winnable games coming up.

I will say this for $tate, if they could have got Renardo Sidney (top recruit they bought from CA) and the 7 footer they bought from Serbia into school, they would be very good, close to Kentucky good. Thankfully, it appears the NCAA has finally grown a set and is telling slick Rick "no" for a change.

There was a good, energetic crowd of around 11,000 or so. The student turnout was a little disappointing, but that's to be expected for an 11 am tipoff on a Saturday. As usual, a couple of thousand $tate fans made their annual trip to the "big city." At one point they were doing a "maroon-white" chant during a break when a U.S. Marine was being recognized at center court. Classless, but not at all unexpected from that bunch. I hope they all had a miserable time and an awful drive home.

Up next, the LSU Tigers will come to Coleman Coliseum Wednesday night for a 7pm tipoff looking for their first conference win. They will also be looking for revenge after we beat the crap out of them in Red Stick. They are playing better now, as they led Ole Miss for a good part of their most recent game before finally blowing it late. We are not good enough to survive a let down, so hopefully we will bring our A game and get back to .500 in conference play.