Monday, January 05, 2009

Clemson stats pack, revised SEC predictions, and current SEC RPI rankings

We travel to Littlejohn Coliseum to play the #12 ranked (and undefeated) Clemson Tigers. I hear they might be a pretty good team. Here's Clemson's stats pack.

A few years ago they were undefeated, but ended up in the Not Invited Tournament after tanking in the ACC. I don't think that'll be the case this year. They've got some impressive wins at Illinois, South Carolina, Miami, and Charlotte. We on the other hand have some impressive road/neutral site wins over... nobody.

The stats:
- 50% FG
- 37.5 3PT FG
- 69% FT
- +3.8 rebound margin
- almost 7 blocked shot per game

Trevor Booker is going to give us fits inside despite being a smallish PF (6'7"). He's their leading rebounder and one of the leaders in FG percentage (58%). K.C. Rivers is their leading scorer. I assume Hillman gets him defensively. Delmontez Stitt (the 1st time I saw that name I read it wrong and laughed) will push Steele at the point. He's lightning quick.

Prediction: I know everyone's thinking this will be a Clemson blowout, but they did somewhat struggle with East Carolina so there's some hope. Not a whole lot of hope, but there's a glimmer. Saying that, we know if Alabama gets down double digits in the 2nd half we tend to fold like a cheap tent. I say we keep it close for a half and then comes the pain. Clemson by 15.

SEC Predictions (revised)
As the non-conference slate comes to an end I think I've seen enough of every team in the SEC to try this again (g).

SEC East
1) Tennessee (11-5)- they seem to have defensive lapses, but lucky them that most teams in the SEC don't play offense.
2) Kentucky (10-6)- like last year, SEC play is just what the doctor needs.
3) South Carolina (10-6)- the surprise of the east so far... winning at Baylor impressed me.
4) Florida (9-7)- all the talent in the world, but it hasn't come together for them as of yet. Maybe they hit their stride and compete with Tennessee, but I doubt it.
5) Vanderbilt (6-10)- if they were in the west they'd be better. I can't see them splitting with Tenn, UF, and Kentucky.
6) UGA (4-12)- Dennis Felton is a good coach... at the wrong job. I don't think his hard core discipline works in Athens. He'll be back with a mid major and recapture success.

SEC West
1) Arkansas (11-5)- Fortson seems to be the real deal. Weren't they picked last in the SEC West. A scary enthusiastic young team.
2) LSU (9-7)- win out at home and steal one on the road. Their size is going to cause problems in the west.
3) Auburn (7-9)- probably not good enough to save his job. Like Felton he's a good coach in a bad job.
4) Alabama (7-9)- if we play like we did against Ga Tech I'd flip the record. I tend to go with the body of work instead of abnormalities.
5) Ole Miss (6-10)- injuries decimated this team. They'll lose a lot of close games.
6) Miss St (6-10)- Stewart and Varnado have to play well EVERY GAME for them to win. That's a lot of pressure.

SEC RPI
I realize this is from Dec 30th, but I wanted to put this out there.
Tennessee: 29
Florida: 66
Kentucky: 76
Ole Miss: 79
Vanderbilt: 83
Arkansas: 96
LSU: 103
Auburn: 110
South Carolina: 157
Mississippi State: 184
UGA: 189
Alabama: 235

Looking at the SEC West and the non-conference slate, the most impressive win was Arkansas' home win over the Sooners. Auburn's road win at UVA sadly is 2nd best.

3 comments:

finebammer said...

did you watch uk - louvl???

the wildcats don't seen to have a three point threat at all.

bobbyjack said...

Meeks will step it up something... I got to think.

Mitchell said...

Kentucky will be in the race for the East division; Tennessee isn't good enough defensively this year to run away with it. Plus, Florida remains a threat because of the talent they have. South Carolina is a darkhorse by virtue of their win at Baylor, and I think Vanderbilt is improving.

The SEC West remains a mystery. I think any team outside of Ole Miss [due to the injuries] has a chance to win the division, even Auburn. Arkansas and LSU look like the teams to beat, but Alabama has improved a little [tonight, win or lose, will be a barometer of how much they've improved] and I think Mississippi State will improve as the year progresses [they smoked Western Kentucky last night]. It should make for an interesting conference year.

Right now I'd have to go with

East:

1. Tennessee
2. Kentucky
3. Florida
4. South Carolina
5. Vanderbilt
6. Georgia

West:

1. Arkansas
2. LSU
3. Mississippi State
4. Alabama
5. Auburn
6. Ole Miss